Trump Gains On Harris In Betting Markets As Harris ‘Honeymoon’ Fades
Charlie Kirk Staff
08/22/2024

Bettors wagering on the November presidential election are shifting their predictions following the Democratic National Convention. According to online political betting markets, former President Donald Trump is gaining ground.
At Polymarket, where bettors place wagers on whether Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris will win, Trump currently leads 52% to 47%. This is a significant reversal from pre-DNC figures, which had Harris ahead of Trump 52% to 48%.
The shift represents a five-point gain for Trump and a four-point drop for Harris, reflecting a nine-point swing in the market’s view of this week’s Democratic event in Chicago. Over $681 million has been wagered on the platform.
POLYMARKET, 8/19 (PRE-DNC)
Harris 52% (+4)
Trump 48%POLYMARKET, NOW
Trump 52% (+5)
Harris 47%A nine-point swing in the betting markets towards Trump during the DNC. They aren’t liking what they see.
— Red Eagle Politics (@RedEaglePatriot) August 21, 2024
Critics have highlighted several issues at the Democratic National Convention, including riots, teleprompter malfunctions, and long programming delays. These problems have been contrasted with the smooth operation of last month’s Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, which drew millions of viewers.
Harris, scheduled to speak on Thursday, has continued to avoid media interviews, leaving spokesman Michael Tyler to make vague assurances about when she might engage with the press. After complaints from Biden’s advisors about the DNC’s schedule running late—causing the president’s speech to start around midnight—Tyler controversially attributed the delays to extended applause during the event.
Meanwhile, the vice president is being criticized for refusing to sit down for an unscripted interview in the month since President Joe Biden announced he would end his reelection campaign. She has taken a couple of questions on the campaign trail but nothing formal. And in one instance, at least, she was accused of giving another of her characteristice “word salad” responses.
“You unveiled your economic policies last week. Can you explain how you’re going to pay for those, and can you give me an example of what other policies you want to unveil next?” the reporter asked. Harris went on to respond with what many have characterized as her typical “word salad” answer.
“Well, I mean, you just look at it in terms of what we are talking about, for example, around children, and the child tax credit, and extending the EITC. That is at $6,000 for the first year of a child’s life. The return on that investment, in terms of what that will do and what it will pay for, will be tremendous,” the vice president said, adding that the Biden-Harris regime has “reduced child poverty by 50 percent” without providing specifics.
“And then what we’re doing in terms of the tax credits, we know that there’s a great return on investment. And when we increase homeownership in America, what that means in terms of increasing the tax base, not to mention property tax base, what that does to fund schools, again, return on investment,” Harris continued while her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, looked on.
“I think it’s a mistake for any person who talks about public policy to not critically evaluate how you measure the return on investment. When you are strengthening neighborhoods, strengthening communities, and in particular the economy of those communities, and investing in a broad-based economy, everybody benefits, and it pays for itself,” she claimed.
WATCH:
Reporter: How are you going to pay for your crazy proposals?
Harris: (Incoherent word salad)pic.twitter.com/DHFwZdVoiC
— Bonchie (@bonchieredstate) August 18, 2024