Nevada Could Make Or Break Trump, Harris This Cycle
Charlie Kirk Staff
09/30/2024

Despite being a “purple” state with only six electoral votes, Nevada holds the potential to significantly influence Vice President Kamala Harris’s campaign and pave the way for a victory for former President Donald Trump, according to experts cited by the Daily Caller News Foundation.
While Nevada has consistently favored Democratic candidates since 2008, the race between Trump and Harris is becoming increasingly competitive in this swing state, which could pose challenges for Harris’s campaign.
Although Nevada’s electoral weight is smaller compared to other battleground states, the unique economy and demographic makeup of the Silver State could play a critical role in determining which candidate ultimately secures the presidency, experts told the outlet.
“There are very few paths to victory that do not involve Nevada,” Dheeraj Chand, a Democratic strategist, told the DCNF. “It would be a big blow to her when we take those electoral votes,” GOP pollster John McLaughlin told the DCNF.
Jeremy Hughes, a GOP strategist based in Nevada, added: “One of the particularly interesting things about it is it’s the only state that President Trump lost twice. Now, he has a chance to flip it this cycle.”
Polling between Trump and Harris remains extremely close. RealClearPolling averages indicate that the Republican nominee is trailing Harris by just 1.4 points. The latest Hill/Emerson poll shows both candidates tied at 48%, while a recent American Greatness poll gives Harris a narrow one-point lead over Trump, according to the DC report.
Nevada has been a Democratic-leaning swing state for nearly two decades, although victories have often been by slim margins. In both the 2016 and 2020 elections, former Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and President Joe Biden each defeated Trump by 2.4 points in the state.
“Republicans were able to win a gubernatorial election, which I would say, outside of Brian Kemp, was maybe the bright spot for Republicans on election night [in 2022],” Hughes told the DCNF. “So it has moved a little to the right. Voter registration in the state has also moved significantly. In fact, I think more Republicans than Democrats will vote in this election.”
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