CNN Throws Cold Water On Poll Showing Harris Ahead in Iowa
Charlie Kirk Staff
11/04/2024

CNN host Dana Bash and political commentator Kristen Soltis Anderson expressed skepticism on Sunday regarding a recent Iowa poll that indicated Vice President Kamala Harris had a notable lead over former President Donald Trump in the traditionally red state.
The Des Moines Register/Mediacom released a poll on Saturday evening showing Harris ahead of Trump by 47% to 44%. Pollster Ann Selzer remarked on the surprising results, noting that Harris has “clearly leaped into a leading position,” according to the Des Moines Register.
However, during the segment on “State of the Union,” Bash pointed out that Republicans in Iowa have voiced doubts about the accuracy of the poll’s findings.
“Now, Republicans I’ve talked to in Iowa think that that is probably overstating her support. But they do see a trend there with late breakers for Kamala Harris on the female side, on the older side that could be very real [and] not just there but other places,” Bash said.
“Now, Republicans I’ve talked to in Iowa think that that is probably overstating her support. But they do see a trend there with late breakers for Kamala Harris on the female side, on the older side that could be very real [and] not just there but other places,” Bash said.
“So I’ve also, in my own data, seen senior women trending a little more Democratic. I don’t think it is to the extent that was found in the Selzer poll. But she’s a great pollster; even good pollsters sometimes have outliers, and that is why I think what David Axelrod said was so important about uncertainty,” Anderson said.
“This election could be a reboot, that’s sort of what The New York Times/Siena polls are showing. That Harris has rebooted the Obama coalition, she’s getting younger voters, she’s getting voters of color to turnout for her in big numbers,” Anderson added. “But this also could be a realignment, and that’s what the Trump team is hoping for.”
Anderson went on to state that despite Trump’s potential decline in support among senior women voters, other voting blocs could be making up that lost ground.
“That they’re actually doing better with younger voters, better with voters of color than expected. So even if they are losing seniors by a little bit, especially senior women, they’re making up that ground in other places,” Anderson continued.
“We don’t yet know if this is a reboot or a realignment, and just because the polls are generally showing this race close I want to be clear the uncertainty is not just, ‘We don’t know who’s going to win.’ It’s also possible that one of these candidates could run away with this. The uncertainty is not just, ‘Well we’re sure it’ll be close.’ We’re not sure of anything right now,” Anderson concluded.
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