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Trump Takes Substantial Lead Over Harris In Key Election Metric

Charlie Kirk Staff

10/12/2024

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Trump Takes Substantial Lead Over Harris In Key Election Metric

With fewer than a month remaining until Election Day, former President Donald Trump has established a notable lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in a key voter sentiment metric, according to the political betting platform Polymarket.

The site now indicates that Trump holds a substantial 13-point advantage in its betting markets, signaling a positive trajectory for the Republican contender as the 2024 presidential race enters its final stretch.

Polymarket, renowned for its real-time forecasting, currently reports that Trump accounts for 56% of the bets placed on the presidential election. This surge could present significant challenges for the Harris campaign.

Despite Vice President Harris’s efforts to close the gap through numerous visits to battleground states and media appearances, her message appears to be struggling to connect with undecided voters.

Recently, the Harris campaign has been urged to reinvigorate its efforts and refocus on her policy initiatives. Although she has participated in a series of high-profile media appearances and outreach events aimed at energizing the Democratic base, her support has remained steady.

Even in crucial battleground states, where the campaign has heavily invested in advertising and grassroots.

Political analysts cite several reasons that might be slowing Kamala Harris’s campaign momentum. One major challenge is her difficulty in distancing herself from the Biden administration’s policies and image, which continue to divide voters.

Additionally, some believe that the messaging from Harris’s team isn’t effectively connecting with the independent voters necessary to sway the election in her favor. After Joe Biden withdrew from the race, Harris quickly secured the Democratic nomination, experienced a surge in campaign contributions, and surpassed Biden’s earlier polling numbers.

Despite these gains, there is growing unease among Democrats regarding the overall direction of the campaign.

Concerns are mounting that Harris’s campaign is losing traction as debates over the strategic allocation of resources resurface. Her team has publicly dismissed poll results, insisting that the race remains competitive and will stay close until Election Day.

However, with only weeks left and following several high-profile visits to swing states and a strong debate performance aimed at bridging the gap left by Biden’s departure, Harris’s support has shown little growth.

Additionally, the fact that Harris is the first Democratic nominee in over sixty years who did not face a competitive primary is causing doubt among some party members.

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Charlie Kirk is the Founder and President of Turning Point USA, a national student movement dedicated to empowering young people to promote the principles of free markets and limited government.

Charlie is also the host of “The Charlie Kirk Show” podcast, which regularly ranks among the top-10 news shows on Apple podcast news charts, and is the host of the nationally syndicated daily radio show on the Salem Radio Network live from 12 - 3 PM ET.
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