Polling and job approval ratings for President Joe Biden continue to decline as the 2024 elections draw closer.

In early November, polls from The New York Times/Siena College suggested that Trump held a lead in four out of the six swing states, with additional indicators of Biden’s electoral vulnerability emerging swiftly as the president’s lead over Trump in head-to-head matchups started to diminish.

In the latest polls conducted this month by 13 different pollsters, Biden’s standing has decreased in all but two, compared to their earlier surveys.

Furthermore, Trump is gaining momentum, with the majority of the movement coming from voters switching from Biden to Trump, even if they are still undecided.

At this juncture, Trump commands a larger vote share than at any other time in the past year, according to the average national poll.

Impressively, state-level data aligns with the trend. Aside from the poll conducted by the New York Times/Siena, recent surveys over the past several days indicate that Trump is leading by 8 points in Arizona and 5 points in Michigan.

Several factors, such as the rise of independent and third-party candidates capable of drawing votes away from both Biden and Trump, the initiation of conflict in the Middle East, and Biden’s recent decline and political challenges nearly 11 months before Election Day, suggest that Biden is experiencing a loss of support both against Trump and among reliable Democratic constituencies.

The outcomes of this week’s NBC News poll were striking: Among voters under the age of 35, Trump secured a victory with 46 percent compared to Biden’s 42 percent.

Although the margin of error for such a small subgroup makes the result well within the expected range, additional polls suggest a closely contested race within a historically reliable Democratic constituency. In surveys conducted this month by Quinnipiac University (Biden +9), Fox News (Biden +7), and Morning Consult (Biden +2), Biden’s leads among voters aged 18 to 34 were all in the single digits. (It’s noteworthy that Trump came out ahead of Biden in all four voter surveys.)

While there are a few polls that indicate Biden has a lead among young voters approaching his 2020 margins, these are the exception rather than the rule.