A new Harvard/Harris poll reveals that while 2024 Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris holds an advantage among early voters nationwide, Donald Trump is leading in key battleground swing states.

Among early voters in battleground states, 48 percent have cast their ballots for Trump, with 47 percent voting for Harris. On a broader scale, 51.4 percent of all early voters have supported Harris, while 42.6 percent backed Trump.

Great job by Bret Baier in his Interview with Lyin’ Kamala Harris. She has a massive and irredeemable case of TRUMP DERANGEMENT SYNDROME – So bad, in fact, that she is barely able to talk about any subject other than the man who had the best economy ever, the strongest border in…

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 17, 2024

When looking at likely voters in battleground states, 49 percent indicated they would vote for Trump if the election were held today, compared to 47 percent for Harris.

Trump’s lead among overall likely voters is fueled by key demographics. Independent voters favor Trump by 44 percent, compared to 40 percent for Harris. Asian voters show strong support for Trump, with 66 percent saying they would vote for him. In rural areas, Trump leads with 49 percent of likely voters, while 47 percent back Harris. Rural voters, in particular, are heavily backing Trump, with 56 percent siding with him.

Trump also maintains a strong lead among white, male voters and those with at least a high school diploma but less than a four-year college degree. Additionally, Trump has a 5-point lead among likely voters who have already made up their minds about their choice for president.

Trump was right https://t.co/87neGuNLqL pic.twitter.com/t7btwZF8uk

— ALX 🇺🇸 (@alx) October 16, 2024

Despite Trump’s edge in battleground states, Harris holds a slight advantage among early voters in other key groups. She leads by three points among independent early voters, one point among male voters, 11 points among Asian voters, and 13 points among suburban voters. However, Trump continues to lead by two points among high school graduates, one point among white voters, and 17 points among rural voters.

As the 2024 election approaches, 45 percent of voters say they plan to vote early, 50 percent plan to vote on Election Day, and 5 percent indicated they do not plan to vote.

The poll, conducted from October 11-13, surveyed 2,596 likely voters, including 898 from battleground states. It has a margin of error of 1.8 percent.