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Top Pollster Says Trump-Harris Race Too Close To Call Despite VP’s ‘Honeymoon’

Charlie Kirk Staff

09/22/2024

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Top Pollster Says Trump-Harris Race Too Close To Call Despite VP’s ‘Honeymoon’

Nate Silver, considered to be among the top pollsters in the United States and a self-proclaimed supporter of Democrat presidential candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris, had some tough news for her.

During an appearance on CNN he said that her honeymoon period is done and she has started to plateau and even go into the negative.

“With all seven states polling so closely, I don’t really have an intuition beyond what’s in our forecast, which is 50-50, almost exactly,” the pollster said.

“Look clearly, Harris has some kind of momentum post-debate. The thing that would worry me a little bit if I were Democrat is that she had the same momentum earlier on in the campaign and then had a very flat to negative period afterwards. So, can she sustain the good vibe, so to speak that she had before? You know, to me, Trump seems pretty off kilter recently. It’s a bit more subjective,” he said.

“But we’re not going to wake up on November 5 with a lot of certainty about the outcome. We might not go to bed on November 5 with a lot of certainty, either. You could even have a recount 2020 style or 2000 style, rather, in one or more key swing states,” he said.

Another one of the nation’s top pollsters, Matt Towery, spoke to Fox News host Laura Ingraham where he said that the former president is in a better position in this election with the polls than he was in his previous two elections.

“Well, you know, let me just say this. The polling gurus and predictors are going to start telling you over the next month and a half that Harris is gaining speed in these various battleground states. They’re somehow going to say that she’s gaining speed in the national polls. I’m just going to predict it. They’re going to say that she’s going to win and Trump will lose. It makes no sense,” the pollster said.

“People have to understand. Trump is running way ahead of where he has in the last two cycles that he ran in the national average. I mean, she is much closer than either Biden or, before that, Hillary Clinton. And in these various states, now, you know, everybody has their different way of sampling things. I think all of these states are very tight,” Towery continued.

“But I don’t think there’s any state where anyone has a four or five-point lead right now that’s a battleground state. I just don’t see it, and I don’t believe it,” he said before the host played a clip of Trump voters in New York pleading with undecided voters to vote for the former president.

“Number one, I think the president was very crisp in what his message was, immigration and inflation. In fact, I have an interview with him on Saturday that’s going to air and that was his thing. He goes, that’s my closing argument, immigration and inflation,” Towery noted.

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Charlie Kirk is the Founder and President of Turning Point USA, a national student movement dedicated to empowering young people to promote the principles of free markets and limited government.

Charlie is also the host of “The Charlie Kirk Show” podcast, which regularly ranks among the top-10 news shows on Apple podcast news charts, and is the host of the nationally syndicated daily radio show on the Salem Radio Network live from 12 - 3 PM ET.
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