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Pollster Luntz Reveals What ‘Shocked’ Him About Trump’s Exit Poll Numbers

Charlie Kirk Staff

11/07/2024

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Pollster Luntz Reveals What ‘Shocked’ Him About Trump’s Exit Poll Numbers

Pollster Frank Luntz expressed his surprise on CNN Wednesday regarding former President Donald Trump’s rise in support among Latino voters, citing exit polls released after Election Day.

After outlets declared Trump the 47th president-elect, exit poll data showed significant gains for Trump among key voting blocs that have historically aligned with the Democratic Party. On “Election Day in America,” Luntz told CNN anchor Wolf Blitzer that he was particularly taken aback by Trump’s surge among Latino men, and he pointed out that Vice President Kamala Harris had underperformed with women under 30.

“Most important is the Latino — the Hispanic vote. I was shocked to find out that Trump actually won a majority of male Latinos. There is a huge gender gap, as there is in every single break, but Trump [was] able to win the majority. I think that’s the first time that I know a Republican has been able to do something like that in more than 30 years. So that was number one,” Luntz said.

“Number two, Women under age 30 only represented 7% of the sample for Harris to be successful,” Luntz continued. “They needed to draw a major turnout because the spread there was almost to the one in favor of Harris. So you have to make that something bigger. And third was the fact that, in the end, abortion was a relatively low-priority issue. She was dominating there, but if it doesn’t matter to voters, then it doesn’t matter if one candidate has a tremendous lead. Those would be my three great takeaways.”

Luntz continued by highlighting Harris’s misstep in not being clearer about her policies, pointing out that she had an opportunity to clarify her plans during her town hall event with CNN in October.

“It’s to tell people where you stand. Tell them what you’re going to do. She had a wonderful town hall meeting with CNN. She should have stopped Anderson Cooper at the beginning and said to the audience, ‘I want to tell you exactly what I’m going to do in the first hour, the first day, first week, month, hundred days, year, all of that,’” Luntz said.

“Then when she runs out of time and [when] Anderson wants to move on. She says to the crowd, ‘Do you wanna hear what I’m going to do? Or do you want me to answer questions?’ They would have cheered for her and that would have put aside all this doubt about where she stands or what she wants to do,” Luntz added.

Data indicates that while Harris secured 77% of black male voters nationwide, Trump garnered 21% of their support—an increase of two points from his 2020 results, according to Reuters. Furthermore, Trump outperformed Harris among Hispanic men nationwide, receiving 55% of their support, which represents a 19 percentage point increase from a 2020 exit poll, while Harris trailed with 43%, as reported by the outlet.

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Charlie Kirk is the Founder and President of Turning Point USA, a national student movement dedicated to empowering young people to promote the principles of free markets and limited government.

Charlie is also the host of “The Charlie Kirk Show” podcast, which regularly ranks among the top-10 news shows on Apple podcast news charts, and is the host of the nationally syndicated daily radio show on the Salem Radio Network live from 12 - 3 PM ET.
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